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The Silver Bulletin Year in Review

The 51 biggest American political moments of the 21st century

I've tracked my last 800 flights. Here's when you really need to get to the airport.

Did Las Vegas get too greedy?

What is Heather Cox Richardsonism?

The Democratic base isn’t in the mood to compromise

SBSQ #27: Is redistricting backfiring on Republicans?

Biden defenders need to take the 'L'

Are poker players liberal or conservative?

Keep Houston weird

What if you love Silver Bulletin... but hate sports?

Is Trump a lame duck?

The NFL has entered the Scorigami Era

Trump made a huge blunder on the shutdown. So why did Democrats cave anyway?

SBSQ #26: Do prediction markets make polls useless?

A 10/10 night for Democrats

Andrew Cuomo’s last stand

Bring the big leagues to Mexico City

Is New Jersey the next swing state?

Is the NYC mayoral race tightening?

Do political scandals still matter? Or is ticket-splitting dead?

The NBA gambling scandal, explained by an actual gambler

Everybody loves “outsider” candidates. Until they find their Reddit posts.

SBSQ #25: Why "No Kings" is a W for Democrats when the shutdown isn't

I loved my time in the UK. But it needs an AC intervention.

How our ELWAY forecasts work

Is the Democratic Party dominated by progressives or by centrists?

Can Wemby make the MVP leap?

The 3 contradictions driving the shutdown

SBSQ #24: Extra special nerdy edition

Is America ready for a gay president?

What is Schumer's shutdown endgame?

The political mood feels like 9/11 again

Is Andrew Cuomo toast?

You don’t have to say something about every terrible thing

Is Susan Collins toast?

What is Blueskyism?

The best quarterbacks of all time

Democrats can win the redistricting war

Real talk on models, moderation, and the misuse of academic authority

How many seats will Texas redistricting cost Democrats?

SBSQ #23: Does the media really have a liberal bias?

One year later, is the River winning?

Trump's jobs data denialism won't fool anyone

Is Epstein the new Russiagate?

Who has the brightest future in the NBA?

Georgia has gone from luxury to necessity for Democrats

Why Colbert got canceled

NBA Future of the Franchise Rankings 2.0

SBSQ #22: ⚡Lightning Round edition ⚡

Can Elon's America Party succeed where others have failed?

The two theories of Zohran

Did the Thunder get too good, too fast?

How Zohran expanded the electorate

Zohran delivered the Democratic establishment the thrashing it deserved

What explains the liberal-conservative happiness gap?

How the electoral math flipped against Democrats

The metaphor that explains American politics

Can anyone beat Cuomo? And is it Zohran?

17 thoughts on the Trump-Elon feud

When should you fire your coach?

SBSQ #21: Why young men don't like Democrats

Turnout didn’t cost Kamala Harris the election

25 tips for acing the World Series of Poker

ChatGPT is shockingly bad at poker

How I learned to love the New York Knicks

Did the media blow it on Biden?

Can Democrats really win the Senate in 2026?

Why didn't anyone predict the American pope?

We're tracking more data on Trump's popularity

SBSQ #20: The game theory of Trump vs. SCOTUS

Canada thinks we're a bunch of hosers, eh?

It's good when stocks go up

Defending democracy is easier when you listen to voters

Have we found the new Michael Jordan?

Way-too-early 2028 Democratic primary draft with Galen Druke

The 4 factions of Trump 2.0

We shouldn't rely on markets to tame Trump

Silicon Valley's gamble on Trump isn't paying off

2025 March Madness Predictions

2025 Women's March Madness Predictions

Wall Street thinks Trump's tariffs will eat Main Street alive

SBSQ #19: What is Elon's endgame?

Republicans are acting like there’s a Blue Wave coming

Silver Bulletin College Basketball (SBCB) ratings 🏀

America probably can’t have abundance. But we deserve a better government.

How low is Trump's popularity floor?

ARCHIVE: Original Silver Bulletin 2025 March Madness Predictions

NCAA upsets are happening more often

Democrats should have shut it down

How to use Silver Bulletin

Silver Bulletin Women's College Basketball (SBCB) ratings 🏀

Will Wall Street turn on Trump — and Elon?

How our SBCB ratings and NCAA tournament forecasts work

A few words about FiveThirtyEight

SBSQ #18: Will wokeness bounce back?

A chat with Paul Krugman — and a few words about Trump

Job listing: Assistant Sports Analyst

Elon Musk and spiky intelligence

Why Trump killed congestion pricing

My plan to fix the NBA All-Star game

So, how did the polls do in 2024? It’s complicated

Silver Bulletin pollster ratings 2024 archive

Twitter or Bluesky? How about neither.

Democrats need a billionaire strategy

NBA Future of the Franchise Rankings

The game theory of Trump's tariff threats

Luka Doncic and the market for lemons

SBSQ #17: How should you prepare for an AI future?

It's time to come to grips with AI

113 predictions for Trump's second term

Are we entering a Conservative Golden Age?

Why Biden failed

Polling is becoming more of an art than a science

Who I’d pick for the Baseball Hall of Fame

The rise and fall of "fact-checking"

The Hall of Fame is about more than WAR