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SBSQ #23: Does the media really have a liberal bias?
It's a tough call when you consider Fox News. Plus, teasing our new NFL model with Patrick Mahomes — and my poker player rating system.
 • 
Nate Silver
119
One year later, is the River winning?
The paperback edition of On the Edge is out today.
 • 
Nate Silver
66
I've tracked my last 800 flights. Here's when you really need to get to the airport.
The 2-hour rule is usually a myth.
 • 
Nate Silver
94
Trump's jobs data denialism won't fool anyone
Firing the BLS commissioner won’t prevent the effects of tariffs. But it will reduce American economic leadership and increase uncertainty for…
 • 
Nate Silver
112
Is Epstein the new Russiagate?
Political types are obsessed with the story. But that doesn't mean it's penetrated into the broader public.
 • 
Nate Silver
136

Models and Forecasts

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How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
 • 
Nate Silver
 and 
Eli McKown-Dawson
159
How popular is Elon Musk?
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
 • 
Nate Silver
 and 
Eli McKown-Dawson
57
2025 March Madness Predictions
Silver Bulletin odds for the men's NCAA tournament.
 • 
Nate Silver
103
2025 Women's March Madness Predictions
Silver Bulletin odds for every round of the tournament.
 • 
Nate Silver
15
Silver Bulletin College Basketball (SBCB) ratings 🏀
Our Elo-derived ratings for all 364 men's Division I NCAA basketball teams.
 • 
Nate Silver
36
Silver Bulletin Women's College Basketball (SBCB) ratings 🏀
Our Elo-derived ratings for all 362 women's Division I NCAA basketball teams.
 • 
Nate Silver
4
Silver Bulletin pollster ratings, 2025 update
All the numbers for every pollster, fully updated after 2024.
 • 
Nate Silver
 and 
Eli McKown-Dawson
32
FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
All the numbers for Trump vs. Harris.
 • 
Nate Silver
 and 
Eli McKown-Dawson
5,433
Top posts
FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
 • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
5,433
How popular is Donald Trump?
 • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
159
A shocking Iowa poll means somebody is going to be wrong
 • Nate Silver
1,031
24 reasons that Trump won
 • Nate Silver
962
A random number generator determined the “favorite" in our forecast
 • Nate Silver
313

Recent posts

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Who has the brightest future in the NBA?
Part II of our Future of the Franchise rankings.
 • 
Nate Silver
, 
Joseph George
, and 
Jeremias Engelmann
6
Georgia has gone from luxury to necessity for Democrats
Luckily for them, Jon Ossoff has an edge.
 • 
Eli McKown-Dawson
37
Why Colbert got canceled
Economics played a role. Politics might have, too. But mainstream liberal comedy has struggled between the death of mass culture and the rise of Trump.
 • 
Nate Silver
224
NBA Future of the Franchise Rankings 2.0
After an unprecedented period of upheaval, which teams are most likely to win the title over the next 10 seasons?
 • 
Nate Silver
, 
Joseph George
, and 
Jeremias Engelmann
17
SBSQ #22:⚡Lightning Round edition⚡
How the Big Beautiful Bill is ugly for gamblers, why Zohran's opponents are unhinged, how I use ChatGPT, and more.
 • 
Nate Silver
91
Can Elon's America Party succeed where others have failed?
Probably not. Unless Musk is truly thinking big.
 • 
Nate Silver
80
Recommendations
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