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I've tracked my last 800 flights. Here's when you really need to get to the airport.
The 2-hour rule is usually a myth.
 • Nate Silver
ELWAY NFL team projections: Week 17
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson
Did Las Vegas get too greedy?
There's not a recession or a pandemic, but visitors are down almost 8 percent this year. What's going wrong?
 • Nate Silver
What is Heather Cox Richardsonism?
No longer just a Substack: it's one of the 3 emerging factions of the Democratic Party.
 • Nate Silver
QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
 • Nate Silver and Joseph George
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The Democratic base isn’t in the mood to compromise
Jasmine Crockett probably isn’t an optimal Senate candidate. But Democratic voters are angry, and “when we fight, we win” will be a compelling message…
 • Nate Silver
SBSQ #27: Is redistricting backfiring on Republicans?
Redistricting 201. Plus, do NFL teams understand game theory? And, should the Knicks trade for Giannis?
 • Nate Silver
Biden defenders need to take the 'L'
The Democratic Party should move on from people who still can't admit how badly they screwed up.
 • Nate Silver
Are poker players liberal or conservative?
They became more Trump-curious in 2024. But mostly, they’re anti-establishment types who dislike politics until you threaten their livelihoods.
 • Nate Silver
Is Trump a lame duck?
So far, Trump’s approval ratings have had a high floor. But second terms are often turbulent, and Trump has the economy, age and Epstein to worry about.
 • Nate Silver
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