Subscribe
Sign in
Home
Chat
Trump Approval Dashboard
NFL Predictions
Generic Ballot
Elon Popularity Tracker
On the Edge
Archive
About
The Silver Bulletin Super Bowl LX preview
Are the Seahawks and Patriots overachievers, or actually good? Our XL-sized take on LX.
Feb 4
•
Nate Silver
142
11
4
The sad and self-inflicted decline of the Washington Post, in one chart
Under Jeff Bezos, the paper retreated from the adversarial, anti-Trump posture that helped fuel its growth. And now its influence has fallen sharply.
Feb 4
•
Nate Silver
351
96
32
Don't discount American democracy's resilience
The U.S. has a highly popular democratic tradition, even as it battles an authoritarian element.
Feb 2
•
Nate Silver
369
171
41
1:24:04
2028 Democratic primary draft #2
Plus, more commentary on Minneapolis from my live show with Galen Druke and Clare Malone.
Jan 29
•
Nate Silver
183
109
6
ELWAY NFL projections: Super Bowl
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
Feb 2
•
Nate Silver
,
Joseph George
, and
Eli McKown-Dawson
178
74
31
Models & Forecasts
View all
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
1 hr ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
105
9
6
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
1 hr ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
1,073
224
236
How popular is Elon Musk?
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
1 hr ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
305
71
47
ELWAY NFL projections: Super Bowl
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
Feb 2
•
Nate Silver
,
Joseph George
, and
Eli McKown-Dawson
178
74
31
QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
Jan 26
•
Nate Silver
and
Joseph George
165
21
19
Thank you for reading Silver Bulletin! If you enjoy our content, we'd encourage you to become a free or paid subscriber.
Subscribe
Politics
View all
The sad and self-inflicted decline of the Washington Post, in one chart
Under Jeff Bezos, the paper retreated from the adversarial, anti-Trump posture that helped fuel its growth. And now its influence has fallen sharply.
Feb 4
•
Nate Silver
351
96
32
Don't discount American democracy's resilience
The U.S. has a highly popular democratic tradition, even as it battles an authoritarian element.
Feb 2
•
Nate Silver
369
171
41
2028 Democratic primary draft #2
Plus, more commentary on Minneapolis from my live show with Galen Druke and Clare Malone.
Jan 29
•
Nate Silver
183
109
6
1:24:04
Trump is losing normies on immigration
Americans might want more border enforcement, but they don't want ICE agents killing civilians.
Jan 25
•
Nate Silver
577
212
52
Midterm polls have good news, great news, and bad news for Democrats. Wait, what?
The slightly complicated history of the generic ballot.
Jan 22
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
132
29
8
Sports
View all
The Silver Bulletin Super Bowl LX preview
Are the Seahawks and Patriots overachievers, or actually good? Our XL-sized take on LX.
Feb 4
•
Nate Silver
141
11
4
So, who’s going to win the Super Bowl?
Our official Silver Bulletin/ELWAY NFL playoff preview.
Jan 7
•
Nate Silver
129
16
7
Keep Houston weird
The Houston Rockets are playing unconventional basketball, but their young core is blasting off.
Nov 21, 2025
•
Joseph George
114
11
6
The NFL has entered the Scorigami Era
Superkickers, rule changes, dual-threat QBs and analytics are changing the sport — and producing weirder scores.
Nov 14, 2025
•
Nate Silver
159
22
16
Bring the big leagues to Mexico City
The rewards outweigh the risks for the NFL, NBA and MLB
Nov 3, 2025
•
Nate Silver
146
35
11
SBSQ
View all
SBSQ #28b: Maye vs. Stafford and Yelp vs. Google
Plus, why the College Football Playoff selection process is intrinsically broken.
Jan 19
•
Nate Silver
98
31
5
SBSQ #28: Was Tim Walz gonna lose?
Plus, is Venezuela a political liability for Trump?
Jan 5
•
Nate Silver
133
116
8
SBSQ #27: Is redistricting backfiring on Republicans?
Redistricting 201. Plus, do NFL teams understand game theory? And, should the Knicks trade for Giannis?
Dec 7, 2025
•
Nate Silver
103
43
7
Silver Bulletin
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.
Subscribe
Top posts
FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
Nov 5, 2024
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
4,326
5,431
825
How popular is Donald Trump?
1 hr ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
1,073
224
236
A shocking Iowa poll means somebody is going to be wrong
Nov 3, 2024
•
Nate Silver
744
1,030
83
24 reasons that Trump won
Oct 20, 2024
•
Nate Silver
1,033
961
124
A random number generator determined the “favorite" in our forecast
Nov 5, 2024
•
Nate Silver
417
313
46
Recent posts
View all
Trump is losing normies on immigration
Americans might want more border enforcement, but they don't want ICE agents killing civilians.
Jan 25
•
Nate Silver
577
212
52
QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
Jan 26
•
Nate Silver
and
Joseph George
165
21
19
Midterm polls have good news, great news, and bad news for Democrats. Wait, what?
The slightly complicated history of the generic ballot.
Jan 22
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
132
29
8
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
1 hr ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
105
9
6
Were the resistance libs right about Trump?
13 thoughts from my Substack Live with Matt Yglesias.
Jan 20
•
Nate Silver
244
54
6
1:47:18
See all
Recommendations
View all 55
Wrong Side of History
Ed West
The Lo Times
ryan sutton
I Might Be Wrong
Jeff Maurer
Punt of the Day
Sam Greenwood
Neil’s Substack
Neil Paine
This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please
turn on JavaScript
or unblock scripts
