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Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
2 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
2 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
How popular is Elon Musk?
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
2 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
Can Democrats escape their Florida death spiral?
Why the Sunshine State is no longer a swing state.
Feb 13 • Eli McKown-Dawson
The singularity won't be gentle
If AI is even half as transformational as Silicon Valley assumes, politics will never be the same again.
Feb 11 • Nate Silver
QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
Feb 10 • Nate Silver and Joseph George
Kamala Harris has Liz Cheney Syndrome
Centrists think Harris is a leftist, and leftists think she’s a centrist. But she’s not the only candidate with this sort of problem.
Feb 9 • Nate Silver
Job listing: Associate Editor
Silver Bulletin is hiring, again.
Feb 9 • Nate Silver
The Silver Bulletin Super Bowl LX preview
Are the Seahawks and Patriots overachievers, or actually good? Our XL-sized take on LX.
Feb 4 • Nate Silver
The sad and self-inflicted decline of the Washington Post, in one chart
Under Jeff Bezos, the paper retreated from the adversarial, anti-Trump posture that helped fuel its growth. And now its influence has fallen sharply.
Feb 4 • Nate Silver
ELWAY NFL projections: Super Bowl
Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.
Feb 2 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson
Don't discount American democracy's resilience
The U.S. has a highly popular democratic tradition, even as it battles an authoritarian element.
Feb 2 • Nate Silver
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