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Trump Approval Tracker
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How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
15 hrs ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
1,659
274
422
How popular is the Iran War?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.
15 hrs ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
512
36
103
Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?
Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.
15 hrs ago
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
255
28
36
PELE International Football Rankings ⚽
What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for…
May 15
•
Nate Silver
and
Joseph George
108
32
8
Nate's 3 rules for constitutional hardball
A “democracy agenda” should be principled, create a stable equilibrium, and pass muster with voters.
May 15
•
Nate Silver
178
90
9
On redistricting, Democrats are playing as the away team
Democrats are fighting uphill against Republican-leaning courts. But they can’t afford either despondence or complacency.
May 11
•
Nate Silver
226
103
20
How we calculate our PELE ratings
Way more detail than you asked for on the methods behind our new soccer model.
May 8
•
Nate Silver
23
4
Want more Black representatives? Elect more Democrats.
I ran the numbers on redistricting after the Supreme Court's decision on the Voting Rights Act. The Black representation trade-off is mostly a myth.
May 5
•
Nate Silver
214
33
14
April 2026
Democrats are not OK with Boomers
Perhaps having learned their lesson with Joe Biden, the party’s voters are starting to reject older, establishment-bound candidates.
Apr 30
•
Nate Silver
271
110
16
How much can Trump screw with the midterms?
Doomsday scenarios are unlikely, but the realistic ones deserve more attention. A Q&A with Votebeat's Nathaniel Rakich.
Apr 29
•
Eli McKown-Dawson
227
36
19
How popular is Elon Musk?
Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.
Apr 28
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
361
70
68
Can we please stop rationalizing political violence?
I wish I didn't have to state the obvious.
Apr 28
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
193
140
10
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