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The incumbency advantage is disappearing. Maybe it's the algorithms' fault.
Voters constantly hear that the world is in a state of crisis. It isn't a surprise that they're kicking out incumbents.
Dec 7
•
Nate Silver
89
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The incumbency advantage is disappearing. Maybe it's the algorithms' fault.
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November 2023
SBSQ #3: Forget the polls — has Joe Biden been a good president?
Plus, ranking my 7 favorite US cities.
Nov 30
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Nate Silver
66
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SBSQ #3: Forget the polls — has Joe Biden been a good president?
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The McDonald's theory of why everyone thinks the economy sucks
Americans are spending as much of their paychecks as ever on fast food — and everything else.
Nov 27
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Nate Silver
191
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The McDonald's theory of why everyone thinks the economy sucks
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189
What's the deal with Biden's poor polling with young voters?
There's no shortage of explanations for why young voters are unhappy with Biden — without having to unskew the polls.
Nov 21
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Nate Silver
166
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What's the deal with Biden's poor polling with young voters?
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Las Vegas is a good bet for baseball
The city loves sports, and has no trouble drawing a crowd.
Nov 17
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Nate Silver
56
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Las Vegas is a good bet for baseball
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If Biden can't run a normal campaign, he should step aside
Democrats are taking a huge risk either way. But they shouldn't try to get away with a Rose Garden campaign.
Nov 13
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Nate Silver
193
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If Biden can't run a normal campaign, he should step aside
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251
The GOP is in a Trump trap
Trump hasn't been a consistent electoral success — but Republicans have had even fewer winning nights without him.
Nov 8
•
Nate Silver
148
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The GOP is in a Trump trap
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115
160 million Americans are eligible to be president. How did we end up with these two dudes again?
My head says it's irrational to talk about replacing Biden. But my gut won't stop asking questions.
Nov 6
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Nate Silver
163
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160 million Americans are eligible to be president. How did we end up with these two dudes again?
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195
Free speech is in trouble
Young liberals are abandoning it — and other groups are too comfortable with tit-for-tat hypocrisy
Nov 2
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Nate Silver
350
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Free speech is in trouble
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534
October 2023
SBSQ #2: Should Democrats be excited about special election results?
Plus, where to stay on a poker trip to Las Vegas.
Oct 31
•
Nate Silver
49
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SBSQ #2: Should Democrats be excited about special election results?
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Are these hopeless Republican candidates ever going to quit?
It's probably too late to stop Trump. But some predictions on who might be the next candidates to drop out.
Oct 27
•
Nate Silver
100
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Are these hopeless Republican candidates ever going to quit?
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132
How good will Victor Wembanyama be?
The odds are that he'll be a superstar.
Oct 24
•
Nate Silver
49
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How good will Victor Wembanyama be?
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