Archive - Silver Bulletin

Shameless book plug

If you like this newsletter, I'm pretty sure you'll like On The Edge: The Art of Risking Everything.

Jul 25 •

Did Biden's decline in the polls hurt Democratic Senate candidates?

Nope, not really.

Jul 24 •

Eli McKown-Dawson

7 quick thoughts on the latest Harris-Trump polling

It may take some time for the race to stabilize.

Jul 23 •

Harris is the clear choice of Democratic voters

The coconut memes worked. 🥥🌴

Jul 22 •

Biden and Democrats make the rational choice

They're probably still underdogs against Trump, but Biden dropping out improves their odds.

Jul 21 •

Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast

All the numbers you really care about.

Jul 21 •

and

Eli McKown-Dawson

Betting markets think Biden should quit

Democrats — other than the White House — are finally acting like the party that cares more about winning.

Jul 19 •

Why I don't buy 538's new election model

It barely pays attention to the polls. And its results just don't make a lot of sense.

Jul 18 •

J.D. Vance offers Democrats an opening

But Democrats probably need a better messenger than Biden.

Jul 15 •

The low road, the high road, and the way the wind blows

Reflections after a terrible day in America.

Jul 14 •

The case for, and against, Kamala Harris

Let's be honest: she'd probably be an underdog. But she's still a better option than Biden.

Jul 12 •

Biden needs to do more than make up his deficit in national polls

If the popular vote is close, Trump will probably win the election.

Jul 10 •

Eli McKown-Dawson

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