Archive - Silver Bulletin

2026 World Cup: Knockout stage predictions

Who will win the 2026 World Cup? Odds for all 48 teams and 104 matches, powered by 100,000 simulations from PELE, Silver Bulletin's new soccer model.

7 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Joseph George

June 2026

How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.

15 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

How popular is the Iran War?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.

15 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?

Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.

15 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

PELE International Football Rankings ⚽

What happens when you blend 150+ years of soccer history with player market values into a brand-new model? Rankings, ratings and match projections for…

Jun 30 • Nate Silver and Joseph George

Is the vibecession real — or is the survey broken?

A shift to online polling and undersampling of Republicans are skewing America’s most-cited measure of consumer sentiment.

Jun 29 • Joel Wertheimer

The World Cup knockout round is here. Which team got the luckiest draw?

It's not the United States — though the USMNT's path is pretty favorable, too.

Jun 28 • Nate Silver

Are England the New York Knicks?

Another team just ended a half-century curse by becoming more than the sum of its parts. England's always had the talent — can it finally do the same?

Jun 27 • Joseph George

The Bucks traded Giannis too late

The deal is "ehh, fine" for both Miami and Milwaukee. But Giannis to Boston would have had a seismic effect on the league.

Jun 25 • Joseph George

What all 48 World Cup teams have at stake

Only 7 teams have clinched advancement --- and almost everyone has a lot to play for in their final match.

Jun 24 • Nate Silver

What is Gavin Newsom doing?

Losing support in polls, the governor is leaning into his role as the avatar of an unpopular Democratic establishment.

Jun 23 • Nate Silver

How Trump conquered the Republican Party

My interview with Seth Masket on his new book about the GOP

Jun 20 • Nate Silver

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