QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
🕒 The latest NFL QB ratings
Updated February 10, 2026.
These are our final ratings for the 2025-26 NFL season.
This is the landing page for QBERT1, our NFL quarterback rating system. As with our other landing pages, it’s best viewed on the web rather than over email or in the Substack App. The charts and tables will be updated regularly, and some of the text will change, too.
Here’s our leaderboard of the top five quarterbacks as measured three ways: by their adjusted QBERT rating in 2025-26, by their 2025-26 WAR (wins above replacement), and then by their projected rating for their next forthcoming start.2 The projected rating also incorporates data from previous years and factors related to a QB’s age and experience.
Congratulations to the Super Bowl Champion Seattle Seahawks, a team that QBERT’s companion model, ELWAY, was fond of this year. QBERT considers Sam Darnold to be good rather than great, however — so he doesn’t appear on any of the leaderboards you see above. We have Darnold as the 14th-best QB in the league on a forward-looking basis and the 8th best in the league this year by WAR, where he gets some extra help since playoff stats count in our calculations. Darnold’s QBERT rarting for Super Bowl LX, 82.3, was close to his overall rating (86.4) for the year.
It was a much more disappointing performance for Drake Maye, QBERT’s choice for MVP. His rating for the game was 75.9, somewhere in between replacement-level and average, and that feels generous since his decent-looking raw stat line (27-43 for 295 yards and 2 TDs) was propped up by a largely noncompetitive second half. Although Maye has faced some tough defenses in the playoffs — although QBERT gives him credit for that — his shoulder injury may have been a little worse than the Patriots were initially letting on.
Thanks for following QBERT this season, and we’ll see you again in the fall! 🏈 —NS 2/10/26
See also: ELWAY NFL team projections.
QBERT in a nutshell
QBERT3 is both a rating system and a projection system. It evaluates virtually everything that a quarterback does on the field:
Along with more traditional statistics, it incorporates components like rushing, generating first downs and even comeback wins that other systems may ignore.
By accounting for pass pressure, yards after catch, and the performance of a team’s running backs, QBERT also attempts to allocate credit between the QB and other offensive players.
QBERT ratings place past and present quarterbacks on a level playing field by adjusting for overall leaguewide trends, as well as the strength of the opposing defense, home-field advantage and even the weather.
But QBERT also projects every quarterback on a forward-looking basis, based on a rolling rating of his performance in recent games and recent seasons, with some assumptions4 baked in based on his experience, the aging curve, injuries and — for young quarterbacks — college performance. Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes can survive a rough week and still rank in our top 5 in projected QBERT, but the rating system is more sensitive for less experienced quarterbacks.
For a thorough description of QBERT as well as our historical ratings, see our feature on the best quarterbacks of all time. The scale is designed to be similar to traditional NFL passer rating: 80 is average, 68 is replacement level, and anything 100 or above is great.
In addition to the leaderboard you saw at the top of this page, we have a lot of numbers to show you:
QBERT ratings for each QB so far in 2025
Projected QBERT ratings for each QB’s next start
A breakdown of each QB’s weekly ratings for 2025, allocating credit between his passing performance, his rushing and other factors
A series of charts with historical career tracking for each current QB15
An updated lifetime leaderboard of the top QBs of all time
Lifetime QBERT playoff leaders
A spreadsheet of week-by-week ratings for all QBs since 1950
Other than the first table, the rest of this data is an exclusive for paying subscribers.
Who are the best QBs in the NFL?
Let’s see how that distinction between empirical QBERT and projected QBERT plays out in practice. Here’s our 2025 leaderboard based on performance for the season to date. It’s sorted by WAR, which accounts for adjusted QBERT ratings relative to the replacement-level line of 68 as well as the number of plays6 each QB makes. You can also see each QB’s unadjusted QBERT, which is nearly always higher than his adjusted QBERT because we’re living in a QB-friendly era. Except where otherwise specified, we’re almost always referring to adjusted QBERT when we describe a player’s rating.
In comparison, here are our projected QBERT ratings for the upcoming week. They incorporate performance prior to this season, as well as long-term factors like aging, experience, injuries, and college stats. Although we’ve listed projected QBs for every quarterback currently on an NFL roster, it’s important to note that the projections assume the QB starts the next game; projected QBERTs gradually deteriorate if a guy is sitting on the bench or the IR.