Models and Forecasts

How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.

12 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

Who’s ahead on the generic congressional ballot?

Our constantly-updating tracker of polls for the most important indicator in the race for Congress.

12 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

How popular is the Iran War?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.

12 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

2026 World Cup: Spain vs. Argentina prediction

Who will win the 2026 World Cup? Odds for all 48 teams and 104 matches, powered by 100,000 simulations from PELE, Silver Bulletin's new soccer model.

Jul 16 • Nate Silver and Joseph George

How popular is Elon Musk?

Silver Bulletin favorability ratings for the world's richest man.

Jul 14 • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

COOPER women's NCAA basketball ratings

Silver Bulletin's brand new power ratings for all 363 women's Division I NCAA basketball teams.

Apr 7 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson

COOPER men's NCAA basketball ratings

Silver Bulletin's brand new power ratings for all 365 men's Division I NCAA basketball teams.

Apr 7 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson

2026 March Madness Predictions

Silver Bulletin odds for the men's NCAA tournament, powered by our new COOPER ratings.

Apr 5 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson

2026 Women's March Madness Predictions

Silver Bulletin odds for every round of the tournament, powered by our new COOPER ratings.

Apr 4 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson

QBERT NFL quarterback ratings

Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.

Feb 10 • Nate Silver and Joseph George

ELWAY NFL projections: Super Bowl

Team ratings, playoff and Super Bowl probabilities, and forecasts of every upcoming game from Silver Bulletin's exclusive NFL model.

Feb 2 • Nate Silver, Joseph George, and Eli McKown-Dawson

Silver Bulletin pollster ratings, January 2026 update

All the numbers for every pollster, fully updated after 2025.

Jan 14 • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

#nojs-banner { position: fixed; bottom: 0; left: 0; padding: 16px 16px 16px 32px; width: 100%; box-sizing: border-box; background: red; color: white; font-family: -apple-system, "Segoe UI", Roboto, Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif, "Apple Color Emoji", "Segoe UI Emoji", "Segoe UI Symbol"; font-size: 13px; line-height: 13px; } #nojs-banner a { color: inherit; text-decoration: underline; } This site requires JavaScript to run correctly. Please turn on JavaScript or unblock scripts