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Democrats need a billionaire strategy
You can be pro-capitalism or anti-oligarch, but the middle ground won’t persuade voters.
Feb 9
•
Nate Silver
314
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Democrats need a billionaire strategy
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114
NBA Future of the Franchise Rankings
After a tumultuous trade deadline, which teams are most likely to win titles over the next 10 seasons?
Feb 8
•
Nate Silver
95
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NBA Future of the Franchise Rankings
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21
The game theory of Trump's tariff threats
Why he’s picking on Canada and Mexico — and why he’s playing a dangerous game.
Feb 4
•
Nate Silver
435
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The game theory of Trump's tariff threats
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201
Luka Doncic and the market for lemons
What does the most shocking trade of my lifetime reveal about the new Lakers superstar?
Feb 2
•
Nate Silver
310
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Luka Doncic and the market for lemons
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37
SBSQ #17: How should you prepare for an AI future?
Plus, why has Georgia stayed relatively blue? And who holds the cards in Trump vs. Elon?
Jan 31
•
Nate Silver
293
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SBSQ #17: How should you prepare for an AI future?
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FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
Nov 5, 2024
•
Nate Silver
and
Eli McKown-Dawson
4,335
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FINAL Silver Bulletin 2024 presidential election forecast
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5,509
A shocking Iowa poll means somebody is going to be wrong
Nov 3, 2024
•
Nate Silver
740
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A shocking Iowa poll means somebody is going to be wrong
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1,038
24 reasons that Trump won
Oct 20, 2024
•
Nate Silver
1,023
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24 reasons that Trump won
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964
A random number generator determined the “favorite" in our forecast
Nov 5, 2024
•
Nate Silver
416
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A random number generator determined the “favorite" in our forecast
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313
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It's time to come to grips with AI
After the election, the timelines are accelerating. We need a pluralistic debate about its implications — but the left is dealing itself out.
Jan 27
•
Nate Silver
429
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It's time to come to grips with AI
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161
113 predictions for Trump's second term
From constitutional crises to Mars and back again.
Jan 26
•
Nate Silver
388
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113 predictions for Trump's second term
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132
Are we entering a Conservative Golden Age?
Or will the vibe soon shift back to the left?
Jan 23
•
Nate Silver
560
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Are we entering a Conservative Golden Age?
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181
Why Biden failed
He made a triple devil’s bargain: with the pandemic, his age, and a Democratic Party that can’t get its priorities straight.
Jan 20
•
Nate Silver
564
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Why Biden failed
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198
Polling is becoming more of an art than a science
We asked pollsters what went wrong — and right — in 2024, and what’s in store for 2026.
Jan 16
•
Eli McKown-Dawson
100
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Polling is becoming more of an art than a science
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25
Who I’d pick for the Baseball Hall of Fame
Ichiro, of course. But then the choices get harder.
Jan 13
•
Nate Silver
87
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Who I’d pick for the Baseball Hall of Fame
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73
The rise and fall of "fact-checking"
"Fact-checkers" as the high priests of journalism had a political beginning at Facebook — and have met a political end.
Jan 8
•
Nate Silver
400
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The rise and fall of "fact-checking"
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178
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Silver Bulletin
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.
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