Iran

How popular is the Iran War?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for the ongoing conflict.

20 hrs ago • Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson

The TACO trade meets the fog of war

Counting on Trump to "always chicken out" is a risky strategy. And war in the Middle East is a different game.

Mar 17 • Nate Silver

Will Iran break MAGA?

So far, there’s not much erosion in Trump’s polling among Republicans. But elite opinion can trickle down to the party base.

Mar 11 • Eli McKown-Dawson

Gas prices are set to go vertical

It's not exactly a bold prediction to suggest this will be bad for Trump's political standing.

Mar 8 • Nate Silver

War isn't what it once was

Past precedents are less useful than you'd think when predicting a war's political impact. But Iran still poses downside risks for Trump.

Mar 2 • Nate Silver

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