Silver Bulletin

Silver Bulletin

Models & Forecasts

How popular is Donald Trump?

Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.

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Eli McKown-Dawson's avatar
Nate Silver and Eli McKown-Dawson
Jan 29, 2026
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🕒 The latest on Trump’s approval rating

Updated January 28, 2026

It’s been about one year since Donald Trump took office for the second time. In that time, his net approval rating has fallen from a starting high of +11.7 down to -14.1 today. That’s a nearly 26-point decrease over the past year. His approval on the issues is also down across the board between January 21st, 2025 and today:

  • Immigration: +7.0 —> -11.7

  • The economy: +6.0 —> -18.1

  • Trade/tariffs: -2.0 —> -17.5

  • The cost of living: -6.0 —> -28.7

That -11.7 net approval rating on immigration — a second term low — comes after the killings of Renee Good and Alex Pretti by ICE and U.S. Border Patrol agents in Minneapolis. (Although note that there aren’t yet many polls in the average fielded after Pretti’s killing.) You can read Nate’s latest post for more on Trump’s slipping immigration advantage.

In other Silver Bulletin news, we launched our generic congressional ballot polling average last week. You should also check out our deep dive into the history of the generic ballot and what it could mean for Democrats’ chances in 2026. -EMD, 1/26/26

See also: Generic congressional ballot dashboard and Elon Musk favorability rating dashboard.

This is the landing page for Silver Bulletin presidential approval ratings. We’ll regularly update the charts below as new polls about Donald Trump’s approval rating come in.1

Click here for more information on how the average works. The Silver Bulletin average weights more reliable polls heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here.

The topline: So, just how popular is Trump?

Our default average reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters. If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.2 This is because all Americans have a say in how popular the president is — whether or not they vote.

The polls: What do the surveys say?

Each poll gets an “influence” score based on its pollster rating, its sample size, its recency, and how often a pollster is publishing numbers.3 Sometimes, surveys with mediocre pollster ratings have more weight in the model just because they were conducted very recently or polled more people.

Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity. By clicking on the “adjusted results” tab, you can see how the “house effects” adjustment that corrects for these predictable differences works in our model. You can also click here to download every Trump approval poll in our database — including some additional details not shown in the chart below.

The issues: What do Americans think of Trump’s policies?

Pollsters don’t just ask about Trump’s overall job approval, they also ask about how well he’s dealing with different issues. We’re tracking how the public feels about Trump’s handling of four topics: the economy, immigration, trade and tariffs, and the cost of living.

The deep dive

We also have a few features we’re reserving for paying subscribers:

  • How do Trump’s approval ratings compare to every past president since Truman?

  • How many voters strongly approve or disapprove of Trump?

  • What are Trump’s numbers in only polls of adults or only polls of likely and registered voters?

You can find all of that, plus downloadable data on every president’s approval rating every day since 1945, down below.

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