How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
🕒 The latest
We’re 100 days into Donald Trump’s second term, and for the first time, his net approval is worse than it was at the same point in his first term. As of this post, Trump has a net job approval rating of -9.7. But 100 days into term 1, he sat at -9.1 net approval.
For some additional points of comparison, Joe Biden’s day 100 net approval was +13.3, Barack Obama’s was +26.4, and George W. Bush’s was +28.0. In fact, Trump 2.0 now has the lowest day 100 approval rating of any president in our historical database. -EMD, 4/29/25
See also: Elon Musk favorability tracker.
This is the landing page for Silver Bulletin presidential approval ratings. It will always contain the most recent data from our average of presidential approval polls.1 We’ll regularly update these approval ratings as new polls come in. If you’re viewing this in your email client or the Substack app, you should visit the web version to ensure you’re seeing the latest data.
The polling average is the direct descendant of the presidential approval average that Nate designed for FiveThirtyEight, and the methodology is largely the same. Click here for more information on how the average works. The Silver Bulletin polling averages are a little fancy. They weight more reliable polls more heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here. They adjust for house effects. And they account for uncertainty, estimating the fairly wide range where new polls might come in.
The topline: So, just how popular is Trump?
Our default version of the ratings reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters. If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.2 This is because all Americans have a say in how popular the president is — whether or not they vote.
The polls: What do the surveys say?
Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity — and often underestimated it. So you can see all the numbers here and how house effects work in the model. You can also click here to download all the numbers — and some additional details not shown in the chart below — for every Trump approval poll in our database.
Each poll gets an “influence” score based on its pollster rating, its sample size, its recency, and how often a pollster is publishing numbers.3 Sometimes, surveys with mediocre pollster ratings have more weight in the model just because they were conducted very recently or polled more people.
The deep dive: How does Trump compare to past presidents? And what are his ratings among people who actually vote?
Do you want to see separate averages for only polls of adults or only polls of likely and registered voters? How about approval ratings for every past president since Truman — including Trump 1.0 — with downloadable data? If so, we’ve got you covered … though this is the one part we’re reserving for paying subscribers.