How popular is Donald Trump?
Silver Bulletin approval ratings for President Trump — and all presidents since Truman.
🕒 The latest on Trump’s approval rating
Updated October 2, 2025
Yesterday, Donald Trump’s net approval rating hit -10.3 after a flurry of poll releases. That’s not quite a new low because Trump’s approval rating also dropped to -10.3 on July 22nd, but still, it’s about as unpopular as Trump 2.0 has been thus far. Today, his net approval rating rebounded slightly to -9.3, driven mostly by an InsiderAdvantage poll that gave Trump a net approval of +6. Other than Insider and the Rasmussen tracking poll, the latest polls have contained mostly bad news for the president:
NYT/Siena: -11 net approval
Pew Research Center: -18
Marist College: -12
Marquette Law School: -14
YouGov/The Economist: -14
Morning Consult: -6
YouGov/Yahoo News: -14
The percentage of Americans who strongly disapprove of Trump is also higher than ever. Yesterday, it broke 44 percent in our average for the first time in Trump’s second term. It’s down to a slightly lower (but still higher than usual) 43.5 percent today. -EMD, 10/1/25
See also: Elon Musk favorability rating dashboard.
This is the landing page for Silver Bulletin presidential approval ratings. It will always contain the latest data from our average of presidential approval polls and we’ll regularly update these approval ratings as new polls come in.1
Our polling average is the direct descendant of the presidential approval average that Nate designed for FiveThirtyEight. Click here for more information on how the average works. The Silver Bulletin average weights more reliable polls more heavily — you can find our latest pollster ratings here. It adjusts for house effects. And it accounts for uncertainty, estimating the range where new polls might come in.
The topline: So, just how popular is Trump?
Our default average reflects a combination of all polls, whether conducted among adults, registered voters or likely voters. If a pollster releases multiple versions of the same survey, we use the all-adult version of the poll before the registered voter version.2 This is because all Americans have a say in how popular the president is — whether or not they vote.
The polls: What do the surveys say?
Inevitably, there’s a lot of disagreement from survey to survey, not just because of statistical variation but because pollsters have long had trouble pegging down Trump’s popularity — and often underestimated it. So you can see all the numbers here and how house effects work in the model. You can also click here to download every Trump approval poll in our database — including some additional details not shown in the chart below.
Each poll gets an “influence” score based on its pollster rating, its sample size, its recency, and how often a pollster is publishing numbers.3 Sometimes, surveys with mediocre pollster ratings have more weight in the model just because they were conducted very recently or polled more people.
The issues: What do Americans think of Trump’s policies?
Pollsters don’t just ask about Trump’s overall job approval, they also ask about how well he’s dealing with different issues. We’re tracking how the public feels about Donald Trump’s handling of some of the most salient topics: the economy, immigration, trade and tariffs, and the cost of living.
The deep dive
We also have a few features we’re reserving for paying subscribers:
How do Trump’s approval ratings compare to every past president since Truman?
How many voters strongly approve or disapprove of Trump?
What are Trump’s numbers in only polls of adults or only polls of likely and registered voters?
You can find all of that, plus downloadable data on every president’s approval rating every day since 1945, down below.