Playback speed×Share postShare post at current timeShare from 0:000:00/0:00Preview8583Iran is Trump's biggest political mistakeNarrow mandates and "transformative" presidencies aren’t a good political match.Nate Silver and Galen DrukeApr 06, 2026∙ Paid8583ShareThanks to those of you who joined Galen Druke and me for our Substack Live earlier this afternoon. It felt like a good day to step back and take stock of things.We mostly talked Trump and Iran. But m…This post is for paid subscribersSubscribeAlready a paid subscriber? Sign inPoliticsSilver Bulletin's coverage of politics and elections.Silver Bulletin's coverage of politics and elections.SubscribeAuthorsNate SilverGalen DrukeRecent Posts2028 Republican primary draftMar 5 • Nate Silver2028 Democratic primary draft #2Jan 29 • Nate SilverWere the resistance libs right about Trump?Jan 20 • Nate SilverA 10/10 night for DemocratsNov 5, 2025 • Nate SilverThe 3 contradictions driving the shutdownOct 2, 2025 • Nate SilverReal talk on models, moderation, and the misuse of academic authorityAug 20, 2025 • Nate SilverThe two theories of ZohranJul 1, 2025 • Nate Silver