65 Comments
Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

The Signal and the Noise was good enough that I didn't bother reading the whole post before preordering.

https://knowyourmeme.com/memes/shut-up-and-take-my-money

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

I preordered before this post for the same reason

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I us S&N in my applied stats class.

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The Signal and the Noise was certainly worthwhile.

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Same. And I want to know Nate’s p(doom) and thoughts about timelines.

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Wise decision speaking to Doyle Brunson BEFORE he died.

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author

It was an honor to speak with him. A reporting tip I learned on the book is that it's great to speak with older folks. They've seen a lot, they don't have a lot of shits to give, and (unlike me) they haven't spoken their every thought on the Internet.

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founding

The kid was very smart,

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Oh, I think there could be a lot of fun to be had in assessing Bayesian probabilities given ouija board messages from the dead!

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Amused by the reference to your being limited by US sportsbooks. I’m a professional gambler on politics from the UK and bookmakers over here haven’t accepted my bets for 15+ years. Prices across the whole sports betting industry these days are dominated by the Betfair exchange. Bookmakers then set their lines accordingly.

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author

Yeah, the US books have unfortunately adopted the UK "tradition" of limiting sharp action. Although there's a lot of variance from sportsbook to sportsbook and the book gets into some of that.

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

I am looking forward to reading!

Re: the subtitle, not that you were necessarily soliciting feedback, but I feel like trimming to "How successful risk-takers think" is cleaner!

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author

More inside baseball: subtitles tend to be longer than they should be if you were optimizing for aesthetics because publishers want certain keywords for e.g. SEO reasons. So some form of the word "gambling" is probably gonna be in there.

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Just pre-ordered! In addition to being very interested by all of it, I really like the aesthetics of the chapter naming convention.

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Pre-ordered!

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Congrats! Pre-ordered. Let's go! 🚀

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

ordered. Looking forward to it.

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Congrats! Put in my Kindle pre-order

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Congratulations

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I just got back from Vegas last weekend. That city is booming

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Feb 8Liked by Nate Silver

Just shared with my LinkedIn network too. If you’re looking for early feedback, pick me, pick me 🙋

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Are you planning a book tour with this release?

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author

Yes, for sure. And lots of podcasts. Penguin works its authors hard!

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Can't wait. Always enjoy hearing your thoughts on podcasts. You mentioned critics, curious if you chatted with Kara Swisher about the VC's?

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would love an inside look at the process. For example what’s happening between now (finished writing) and aug 24 when it’s released?

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How about a break in subscription to those two of us that preorder?

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author

I'd love to bundle subscriptions and pre-orders but need to have a brainstorm with Penguin about that. Publishers love Substack but are still figuring out how to navigate the opportunities it creates.

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Really excited to read this. I work in a profession where many of my colleagues are very risk-averse and prefer harmony over truth (to the point of avoiding difficult conclusions even when it’s staring them squarely in the face). Hope to gain some insights from this book.

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right? it sounds like awesome strategic workshop fodder

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