QBERT NFL quarterback ratings
Who's the best QB in the NFL? And the worst? Our advanced statistical ratings on every passer's past, present, and future.
🕒 The latest NFL QB ratings
Updated November 11, 2025
Data is fully updated for Week 10 games.
This is the landing page for QBERT1, our NFL quarterback rating system. As with our other landing pages, it’s best viewed on the web rather than over email or in the Substack App. The charts and tables will be updated regularly, and some of the text will change too.
Here’s our leaderboard of the top five quarterbacks as measured three ways: by their adjusted QBERT rating so far in 2025, by their WAR (wins above replacement), and then by their projected rating for the next week of the NFL season. The projected rating also incorporates data from previous years and factors related to a QB’s age and experience.
We have a new leader in QBERT WAR: the Rams’ Matthew Stafford. (Although if you round to the nearest decimal place, it’s really a three-way tie with Drake Maye and Patrick Mahomes.) For all the fancy stuff that QBERT does, sometimes traditional statistics do a perfectly good job of telling the story. Stafford has an exceptional 25-to-2 touchdown-to-interception ratio so far on the season, including 4 TDs and no picks in the Rams’ 42-26 win over San Francisco on Sunday. (There were a lot of weird and wild scores this week; I’ll have more for you about that soon.)
On a forward-looking basis, however, Lamar Jackson remains our top quarterback. QBERT didn’t actually love his win over Minnesota this week, with the Ravens benefiting from three turnovers and four field goals. But as you’ll see when we update ELWAY later today, the Ravens are now in a strong position to win the AFC North despite their 1-5 start.
Conversely, Josh Allen and the Bills took a hard-to-stomach 30-13 loss at the Dolphins. The Bills were down 16-0 at halftime, and QBERT makes some adjustments for the score throughout the game, so the 306 passing yards that Allen wound up with don’t quite tell the story. Nevertheless, Allen wasn’t terrible by any means, with an 80.6 QBERT rating — about league average — for the game; the Bills have bigger problems on their hands.
Also note that there’s a long item on Joe Burrow in the SBSQ that was published this weekend. Burrow may be back relatively soon — good news for the Bengals — although I explain in that piece why QBERT never quite considered Burrow to be in the elite Jackson/Allen tier in the first place. -NS, 11/11/25
See also: ELWAY NFL team projections.
QBERT in a nutshell
QBERT2 is both a rating system and a projection system. It evaluates virtually everything that a quarterback does on the field:
Along with more traditional statistics, it incorporates components like rushing, generating first downs and even comeback wins that other systems may ignore.
By accounting for pass pressure, yards after catch, and the performance of a team’s running backs, QBERT also attempts to allocate credit between the QB and other offensive players.
QBERT ratings place past and present quarterbacks on a level playing field by adjusting for overall leaguewide trends, as well as the strength of the opposing defense, home-field advantage and even the weather.
But QBERT also projects every quarterback on a forward-looking basis, based on a rolling rating of his performance in recent games and recent seasons, with some assumptions3 baked in based on his experience, the aging curve, injuries and — for young quarterbacks — college performance. Lamar Jackson or Patrick Mahomes can survive a rough week and still rank in our top 5 in projected QBERT, but the rating system is more sensitive for less experienced quarterbacks.
For a thorough description of QBERT as well as our historical ratings, see our feature on the best quarterbacks of all time. The scale is designed to be similar to traditional NFL passer rating: 80 is average, 68 is replacement level, and anything 100 or above is great.
In addition to the leaderboard you saw at the top of this page, we have a lot of numbers to show you:
QBERT ratings for each QB so far in 2025
Projected QBERT ratings for each QB’s next start
A breakdown of each QB’s weekly ratings for 2025, allocating credit between his passing performance, his rushing and other factors
A series of charts with historical career tracking for each current QB14
An updated lifetime leaderboard of the top QBs of all time
Lifetime QBERT playoff leaders
A spreadsheet of week-by-week ratings for all QBs since 1950
Other than the first table, the rest of this data is an exclusive for paying subscribers.
Who are the best QBs in the NFL?
Let’s see how that distinction between empirical QBERT and projected QBERT plays out in practice. Here’s our 2025 leaderboard based on performance for the season to date. It’s sorted by WAR, which accounts for adjusted QBERT ratings relative to the replacement-level line of 68 as well as the number of plays5 each QB makes. You can also see each QB’s unadjusted QBERT, which is nearly always higher than his adjusted QBERT because we’re living in a QB-friendly era. Except where otherwise specified, we’re almost always referring to adjusted QBERT when we describe a player’s rating.
In comparison, here are our projected QBERT ratings for the upcoming week. They incorporate performance prior to this season, as well as long-term factors like aging, experience, injuries, and college stats. Although we’ve listed projected QBs for every quarterback currently on an NFL roster, it’s important to note that the projections assume the QB starts the next game; projected QBERTs gradually deteriorate if a guy is sitting on the bench or the IR.