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The incumbency advantage is disappearing. Maybe it's the algorithms' fault.
Voters constantly hear that the world is in a state of crisis. It isn't a surprise that they're kicking out incumbents.
 • 
Nate Silver
35
SBSQ #3: Forget the polls — has Joe Biden been a good president?
Plus, ranking my 7 favorite US cities.
 • 
Nate Silver
15
The McDonald's theory of why everyone thinks the economy sucks
Americans are spending as much of their paychecks as ever on fast food — and everything else.
 • 
Nate Silver
189
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Fine, I'll run a regression analysis. But it won't make you happy.
 • Nate Silver
353
Free speech is in trouble
 • Nate Silver
534
Not everyone who disagrees with you is a closet right-winger
 • Nate Silver
223
If Biden can't run a normal campaign, he should step aside
 • Nate Silver
251
Some personal news
 • Nate Silver
46
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What's the deal with Biden's poor polling with young voters?
There's no shortage of explanations for why young voters are unhappy with Biden — without having to unskew the polls.
 • 
Nate Silver
112
Las Vegas is a good bet for baseball
The city loves sports, and has no trouble drawing a crowd.
 • 
Nate Silver
31
If Biden can't run a normal campaign, he should step aside
Democrats are taking a huge risk either way. But they shouldn't try to get away with a Rose Garden campaign.
 • 
Nate Silver
251
The GOP is in a Trump trap
Trump hasn't been a consistent electoral success — but Republicans have had even fewer winning nights without him.
 • 
Nate Silver
115
160 million Americans are eligible to be president. How did we end up with these two dudes again?
My head says it's irrational to talk about replacing Biden. But my gut won't stop asking questions.
 • 
Nate Silver
195
Free speech is in trouble
Young liberals are abandoning it — and other groups are too comfortable with tit-for-tat hypocrisy
 • 
Nate Silver
534
SBSQ #2: Should Democrats be excited about special election results?
Plus, where to stay on a poker trip to Las Vegas.
 • 
Nate Silver
36
Are these hopeless Republican candidates ever going to quit?
It's probably too late to stop Trump. But some predictions on who might be the next candidates to drop out.
 • 
Nate Silver
132
How good will Victor Wembanyama be?
The odds are that he'll be a superstar.
 • 
Nate Silver
17
Silver Bulletin
Silver Bulletin
Essays and analysis about elections, media, sports, poker, and all the other things I care about.
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